Add 06106 T0 analyst report
Request: - Use the analyst skill to analyze upcoming IPO 06106 and generate a Markdown report. Changes: - Add a stage-safe T0_prospectus analyst report for 06106. - Record the v0 score, calibrated historical probability, key T0 positives, risks, triggers, and source path. Verification: - Confirmed 06106 has no structured T1 demand yet, so the report is T0_prospectus. - Reviewed the report for stage safety and repo-relative source paths. - Ran git diff --check. Next useful context: - Re-run analyst after 06106 allotment results are archived around 2026-06-23 to generate a T1_allotment report.
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# 06106 IPO Analyst Report
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## Summary
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- Ticker: `06106`
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- Company: Shanghai Seer Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.
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- Stage: `T0_prospectus`
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- Report as of: `2026-06-15T15:00:00Z`
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- Model dataset as of: `2026-06-15T14:04:34Z`
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- Rule version: `ipo_score_v0`
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- Rule path: `rules/ipo_score_v0.yaml`
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- Decision: `strong_watch`
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- PM action: Strong watch at T0, still pending T1 demand confirmation.
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- T0 score: `11`
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- Score bucket: `t0_gte_8`
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- Calibrated D1 positive probability: 76.4% from 72 historical D1 labels
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## Facts
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| Field | Value |
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| --- | --- |
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| Board | Main Board |
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| Status | open_for_subscription |
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| Listing date | 2026-06-24 |
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| Application period | 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-18 |
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| Allotment result date | 2026-06-23 |
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| Listing method | n/a |
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| Industry | Industrial intelligent robots / robot controllers |
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| Sponsors | n/a |
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| Offer price | HK$101.60 |
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| Offer size | HK$1,066.5m |
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| Market cap | HK$11,226.5m |
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| Board lot | 50 |
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| Minimum subscription | HK$5,131.24 |
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| Initial public offer percentage | 5.0% |
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| Over-allotment shares | 1,574,550 |
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## Model Inference
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- D1 positive probability: 76.4%
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- D1 >= 10% probability: 47.2%
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- Historical average D1 return for bucket: 28.6%
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- Historical median D1 return for bucket: 9.6%
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## Score Breakdown
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| Component | Points | Reason |
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| --- | ---: | --- |
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| Offer size | 4 | `800m_to_2000m` |
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| Initial public offer percentage | 3 | `lte_5pct` |
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| Minimum subscription | 2 | `3500_to_10000` |
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| Offer price | 1 | `gte_100` |
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| Over-allotment option | 1 | `present` |
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## Bull Points
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- Offer size: +4 (`800m_to_2000m`).
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- Initial public offer percentage: +3 (`lte_5pct`).
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- Minimum subscription: +2 (`3500_to_10000`).
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- Offer price: +1 (`gte_100`).
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- Over-allotment option: +1 (`present`).
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## Risks And Gaps
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- No material negative scoring component.
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- No required report field is blank for this stage.
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- T2 grey-market signal is not used because the project has no approved reproducible source.
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- Post-listing D1/D5/D20/D60 outcomes are labels for model calibration only and are not shown as prediction inputs.
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## Triggers
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- Upgrade: stronger verified T1 demand, better allocation scarcity, or a new rule-backed positive catalyst.
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- Downgrade: weak public or international demand, oversized supply, low-quality missing fields, or adverse market window.
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## Exit Plan
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- If subscribed and allocated, reassess after allotment and before first trading session using only information available at that stage.
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- For T1 reports without approved T2 data, treat first-day liquidity and position sizing conservatively.
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- Record actual D1/D5/D20/D60 outcomes later as review labels, not as retroactive prediction inputs.
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## Source Paths
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- `data/raw/06106/prospectus_candidate_2026-06-15.pdf`
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