Add 06106 T0 analyst report

Request:
- Use the analyst skill to analyze upcoming IPO 06106 and generate a Markdown report.

Changes:
- Add a stage-safe T0_prospectus analyst report for 06106.
- Record the v0 score, calibrated historical probability, key T0 positives, risks, triggers, and source path.

Verification:
- Confirmed 06106 has no structured T1 demand yet, so the report is T0_prospectus.
- Reviewed the report for stage safety and repo-relative source paths.
- Ran git diff --check.

Next useful context:
- Re-run analyst after 06106 allotment results are archived around 2026-06-23 to generate a T1_allotment report.
This commit is contained in:
2026-06-15 14:13:27 +00:00
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# 06106 IPO Analyst Report
## Summary
- Ticker: `06106`
- Company: Shanghai Seer Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.
- Stage: `T0_prospectus`
- Report as of: `2026-06-15T15:00:00Z`
- Model dataset as of: `2026-06-15T14:04:34Z`
- Rule version: `ipo_score_v0`
- Rule path: `rules/ipo_score_v0.yaml`
- Decision: `strong_watch`
- PM action: Strong watch at T0, still pending T1 demand confirmation.
- T0 score: `11`
- Score bucket: `t0_gte_8`
- Calibrated D1 positive probability: 76.4% from 72 historical D1 labels
## Facts
| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Board | Main Board |
| Status | open_for_subscription |
| Listing date | 2026-06-24 |
| Application period | 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-18 |
| Allotment result date | 2026-06-23 |
| Listing method | n/a |
| Industry | Industrial intelligent robots / robot controllers |
| Sponsors | n/a |
| Offer price | HK$101.60 |
| Offer size | HK$1,066.5m |
| Market cap | HK$11,226.5m |
| Board lot | 50 |
| Minimum subscription | HK$5,131.24 |
| Initial public offer percentage | 5.0% |
| Over-allotment shares | 1,574,550 |
## Model Inference
- D1 positive probability: 76.4%
- D1 >= 10% probability: 47.2%
- Historical average D1 return for bucket: 28.6%
- Historical median D1 return for bucket: 9.6%
## Score Breakdown
| Component | Points | Reason |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Offer size | 4 | `800m_to_2000m` |
| Initial public offer percentage | 3 | `lte_5pct` |
| Minimum subscription | 2 | `3500_to_10000` |
| Offer price | 1 | `gte_100` |
| Over-allotment option | 1 | `present` |
## Bull Points
- Offer size: +4 (`800m_to_2000m`).
- Initial public offer percentage: +3 (`lte_5pct`).
- Minimum subscription: +2 (`3500_to_10000`).
- Offer price: +1 (`gte_100`).
- Over-allotment option: +1 (`present`).
## Risks And Gaps
- No material negative scoring component.
- No required report field is blank for this stage.
- T2 grey-market signal is not used because the project has no approved reproducible source.
- Post-listing D1/D5/D20/D60 outcomes are labels for model calibration only and are not shown as prediction inputs.
## Triggers
- Upgrade: stronger verified T1 demand, better allocation scarcity, or a new rule-backed positive catalyst.
- Downgrade: weak public or international demand, oversized supply, low-quality missing fields, or adverse market window.
## Exit Plan
- If subscribed and allocated, reassess after allotment and before first trading session using only information available at that stage.
- For T1 reports without approved T2 data, treat first-day liquidity and position sizing conservatively.
- Record actual D1/D5/D20/D60 outcomes later as review labels, not as retroactive prediction inputs.
## Source Paths
- `data/raw/06106/prospectus_candidate_2026-06-15.pdf`