Use Chinese for analyst reports
Request: - Make analyst reports Chinese by default and record the rule in the analyst skill. Changes: - Add a Simplified Chinese default-language rule to the analyst skill. - Update the single-IPO report generator to emit Chinese Markdown sections, labels, actions, risks, triggers, and exit plans. - Preserve ticker symbols, stage codes, rule ids, score buckets, and source paths as machine-readable identifiers. - Regenerate the 06106 T0 report in Chinese. - Document the Chinese report default in README and the rule change log. Verification: - Ran py_compile for scripts/generate_ipo_report.py. - Generated a 06106 dry-run report and checked Chinese section headings. - Regenerated reports/2026-06-15_06106_T0_prospectus_analysis.md. - Ran git diff --check. Next useful context: - Future analyst prediction and review reports should be written in Simplified Chinese unless the user explicitly requests another language.
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# 06106 IPO Analyst Report
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# 06106 IPO 分析报告
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## Summary
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## 摘要
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- Ticker: `06106`
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- Company: Shanghai Seer Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.
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- Stage: `T0_prospectus`
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- Report as of: `2026-06-15T15:00:00Z`
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- Model dataset as of: `2026-06-15T14:04:34Z`
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- Rule version: `ipo_score_v0`
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- Rule path: `rules/ipo_score_v0.yaml`
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- Strategy horizon: short IPO subscription trade; intended exit is T2 grey market if reliable, otherwise D1.
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- Decision: `strong_watch`
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- PM action: Strong watch at T0, still pending T1 demand confirmation for a T2/D1 exit.
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- T0 score: `11`
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- Score bucket: `t0_gte_8`
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- Calibrated D1 positive probability: 76.4% from 72 historical D1 labels
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- 股票代码：`06106`
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- 公司：Shanghai Seer Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.
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- 分析阶段：`T0_prospectus`
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- 报告生成时间：`2026-06-15T15:00:00Z`
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- 模型数据时间：`2026-06-15T14:04:34Z`
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- 规则版本：`ipo_score_v0`
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- 规则路径：`rules/ipo_score_v0.yaml`
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- 策略周期：短线 IPO 申购交易；优先在可靠 T2 暗盘卖出，否则默认 D1 卖出。
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- 结论代码：`strong_watch`
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- 执行动作：T0 强关注，仍需等待 T1 认购热度确认后执行 T2/D1 退出纪律。
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- T0 分数：`11`
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- 分数分桶：`t0_gte_8`
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- 历史校准 D1 正收益概率：76.4%，样本数 72
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## Stage Calendar
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## 阶段日期表
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| Stage | Concrete Date For This IPO | Meaning |
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| 阶段 | 本 IPO 对应日期 | 含义 |
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| --- | --- | --- |
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| `T0_prospectus` | 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-18 | Subscription window; use prospectus and offer terms only. |
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| `T1_allotment` | 2026-06-23 | Allotment results day; use public demand, placing demand, and allocation facts. |
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| `T2_grey_market` | 2026-06-23 after allotment results | Pre-listing grey-market sell window if a reliable executable source exists. |
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| `D1` | 2026-06-24 | First official trading day; default sell window when T2 data is unavailable or unreliable. |
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| `T0_prospectus` | 2026-06-15 至 2026-06-18 | 申购前/申购中阶段；只使用招股书和发行条款。 |
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| `T1_allotment` | 2026-06-23 | 分配结果日；使用公开认购热度、国际配售热度和分配事实。 |
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| `T2_grey_market` | 2026-06-23 分配结果公布后 | 上市前暗盘窗口；只有存在可靠且可执行的数据源时才作为卖出依据。 |
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| `D1` | 2026-06-24 | 正式上市首日；T2 数据不可用或不可靠时的默认卖出窗口。 |
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## Facts
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## 基础事实
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| Field | Value |
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| 字段 | 数值 |
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| --- | --- |
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| Board | Main Board |
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| Status | open_for_subscription |
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| Listing date | 2026-06-24 |
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| Application period | 2026-06-15 to 2026-06-18 |
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| Allotment result date | 2026-06-23 |
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| Listing method | n/a |
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| Industry | Industrial intelligent robots / robot controllers |
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| Sponsors | n/a |
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| Offer price | HK$101.60 |
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| Offer size | HK$1,066.5m |
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| Market cap | HK$11,226.5m |
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| Board lot | 50 |
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| Minimum subscription | HK$5,131.24 |
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| Initial public offer percentage | 5.0% |
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| Over-allotment shares | 1,574,550 |
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| 板块 | Main Board |
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| 状态 | open_for_subscription |
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| 上市日期 | 2026-06-24 |
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| 申购期 | 2026-06-15 至 2026-06-18 |
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| 分配结果日期 | 2026-06-23 |
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| 上市方式 | 未记录 |
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| 行业 | Industrial intelligent robots / robot controllers |
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| 保荐人 | 未记录 |
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| 发行价 | HK$101.60 |
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| 发行规模 | HK$1,066.5m |
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| 市值 | HK$11,226.5m |
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| 每手股数 | 50 |
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| 最低认购金额 | HK$5,131.24 |
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| 初始公开发售比例 | 5.0% |
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| 超额配股权股数 | 1,574,550 |
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## Short-Exit Model Inference
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## 短线退出模型推断
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- D1 positive probability: 76.4%
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- D1 >= 10% probability: 47.2%
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- Historical average D1 return for bucket: 28.6%
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- Historical median D1 return for bucket: 9.6%
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- T2 sell return is not modeled until an approved grey-market data source exists.
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- D5/D20/D60 outcomes are review labels only, not holding targets.
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- D1 正收益概率：76.4%
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- D1 涨幅不低于 10% 概率：47.2%
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- 同分桶历史 D1 平均收益：28.6%
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- 同分桶历史 D1 中位收益：9.6%
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- T2 暗盘卖出收益暂未建模，直到项目确认可靠暗盘数据源。
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- D5/D20/D60 只作为复盘标签，不是持仓目标。
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## Score Breakdown
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## 评分拆解
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| Component | Points | Reason |
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| 评分项 | 分数 | 原因代码 |
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| --- | ---: | --- |
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| Offer size | 4 | `800m_to_2000m` |
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| Initial public offer percentage | 3 | `lte_5pct` |
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| Minimum subscription | 2 | `3500_to_10000` |
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| Offer price | 1 | `gte_100` |
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| Over-allotment option | 1 | `present` |
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| 发行规模 | 4 | `800m_to_2000m` |
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| 初始公开发售比例 | 3 | `lte_5pct` |
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| 最低认购金额 | 2 | `3500_to_10000` |
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| 发行价 | 1 | `gte_100` |
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| 超额配股权 | 1 | `present` |
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## Bull Points
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## 正面因素
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- Offer size: +4 (`800m_to_2000m`).
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- Initial public offer percentage: +3 (`lte_5pct`).
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- Minimum subscription: +2 (`3500_to_10000`).
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- Offer price: +1 (`gte_100`).
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- Over-allotment option: +1 (`present`).
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- 发行规模：+4 (`800m_to_2000m`)。
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- 初始公开发售比例：+3 (`lte_5pct`)。
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- 最低认购金额：+2 (`3500_to_10000`)。
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- 发行价：+1 (`gte_100`)。
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- 超额配股权：+1 (`present`)。
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## Risks And Gaps
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## 风险与缺口
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- No material negative scoring component.
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- No required report field is blank for this stage.
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- T2 grey-market signal is not used yet because the project has no approved reproducible source.
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- Post-listing D5/D20/D60 outcomes are labels for later review only and are not holding-period targets.
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- 没有明显负向评分项。
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- 本阶段必需字段没有明显空缺。
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- T2 暗盘信号暂未使用，因为项目还没有批准可复现的数据源。
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- 上市后的 D5/D20/D60 表现只用于后续复盘，不是本模型的持仓周期目标。
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## Triggers
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## 触发条件
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- Upgrade: stronger verified T1 demand, better allocation scarcity, or a new rule-backed positive catalyst.
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- Downgrade: weak public or international demand, oversized supply, low-quality missing fields, or adverse market window.
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- 上调：T1 认购热度显著更强、分配稀缺性更好，或出现有规则支持的新正面催化。
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- 下调：公开或国际需求偏弱、供给过大、关键字段质量不足，或市场窗口明显转差。
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## Exit Plan
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## 退出计划
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- If subscribed and allocated, plan to sell in T2 grey market when reliable executable data is available.
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- If T2 is unavailable or unreliable, use D1 as the default exit window.
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- Do not treat D5/D20/D60 as planned holding periods for this model.
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- Record D1/D5/D20/D60 outcomes later as review labels, not as retroactive prediction inputs.
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- 如果申购并获配，且 T2 暗盘数据可靠且可执行，优先按 T2 暗盘卖出计划处理。
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- 如果 T2 不可用或不可靠，默认使用 D1 作为卖出窗口。
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- 不把 D5/D20/D60 作为本模型的计划持仓周期。
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- 后续记录 D1/D5/D20/D60 结果时，只作为复盘标签，不作为倒推预测输入。
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## Source Paths
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## 来源路径
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- `data/raw/06106/prospectus_candidate_2026-06-15.pdf`
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