Refresh IPO analysis model calibration
Request: - Re-analyze the IPO model using the updated historical archive after T1 demand backfill. Changes: - Regenerate the v0 analysis dataset from the current SQLite archive. - Refresh the v0 calibration report with expanded T1 coverage and new empirical bucket rates. - Update the report template to show pending T1 rows and field-level blanks. - Clarify v0 limitations and record why the score formula stays unchanged for this refresh. Verification: - Ran scripts/build_analysis_dataset.py against data/hk_ipo.sqlite. - Ran py_compile for scripts/build_analysis_dataset.py. - Checked dataset row count, T1 demand coverage, source-only T1 gaps, and repo-relative paths. - Ran git diff --check. Next useful context: - T1 structured coverage is now 291 rows, with 06106 and 06675 still pending_not_due. - The high-conviction T1 bucket remains differentiated, but middle and low buckets are still not monotonic enough for a v1 rule change.
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@@ -143,8 +143,8 @@ calibration_policy:
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dataset_path: data/snapshots/analysis_model_v0_dataset.csv
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known_limitations:
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- T0 has weaker discrimination than T1 because demand data is not available yet.
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- T1 structured demand facts are incomplete for older HTML-only allotment notices.
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- T0 has weaker discrimination than T1 because subscription demand is not available at prospectus stage.
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- T1 is structurally complete for listed rows, but some individual demand fields remain null when the archived source does not explicitly state them.
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- Industry labels and issuer fundamentals are not yet sufficiently structured for v0.
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- T2 grey-market signal is intentionally disabled until a reliable source exists.
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- Current D1 outcomes are from archived market data and should be reviewed for extreme corporate-action or data-vendor anomalies.
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