Add T0.95 late-order heat stage
Request: - Reflect that near-final market heat can be used when the user can still place an IPO order at T0.95. Changes: - Added T0_95_final_heat as a separate analyst decision stage with executability and no-leakage rules. - Added an experimental T0.95 rule overlay for late-order heat scoring and calibration discipline. - Updated archivist guidance and the market-heat archiver so snapshots can be explicitly stored as T0_95_final_heat. - Added market_heat_stage to the analysis dataset and refreshed the model report to show T0.95 coverage separately. Verification: - Ran py_compile for the modified scripts. - Checked archive_t0_5_market_heat.py --help for the new --stage option. - Rebuilt data/snapshots/analysis_model_v0_dataset.csv and reports/2026-06-15_analysis_model_v0.md. - Ran git diff --check. Next useful context: - Current archived heat rows remain T0_5_market_heat only; there are no true T0.95 rows yet. - external_ipo_history.public_oversubscription_times is still calibration-only unless a comparable value is archived before the executable order cutoff.
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# HK IPO Analysis Model v0
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- Model version: `ipo_score_v0`
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- Analysis as of: `2026-06-15T19:20:00Z`
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- Analysis as of: `2026-06-15T19:30:00Z`
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- Rule file: `rules/ipo_score_v0.yaml`
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- Dataset: `data/snapshots/analysis_model_v0_dataset.csv`
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@@ -21,8 +21,11 @@ The model is built for a short IPO allocation trade: sell in T2 grey market when
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- Rows with offer size: 297
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- Rows with public oversubscription: 281
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- Rows with international oversubscription: 277
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- Rows with market heat snapshots: 5
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- Rows with T0.5 margin heat snapshots: 5
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- Rows with T0.95 late-order heat snapshots: 0
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- Rows with T0.5 margin heat and D1 labels: 0
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- Rows with T0.95 late-order heat and D1 labels: 0
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- Rows matched to external ipohk history: 102
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- Rows with external final oversubscription: 95
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- Rows with external final oversubscription and D1 labels: 85
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@@ -54,10 +57,13 @@ T1 adds allotment-stage demand: public subscription, international placing deman
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## T0.5 Market Heat
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T0.5 uses archived subscription-period margin heat snapshots. These are non-official live signals and are kept separate from T1 allotment demand. The current archive is not yet a historical training set: it has too few rows and no D1 labels for calibration.
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T0.5 uses archived subscription-period margin heat snapshots. T0.95 is the near-deadline subset that is still actionable before the user's order cutoff. These are non-official live signals and are kept separate from T1 allotment demand. The current archive is not yet a historical training set: it has too few rows and no D1 labels for calibration.
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- Total market heat rows: 5
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- T0.5 margin rows: 5
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- T0.5 rows with D1 labels: 0
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- T0.95 late-order heat rows: 0
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- T0.95 rows with D1 labels: 0
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## External Final Heat Proxy
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